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Imagine how many theyâd sell with COD as an exclusive then!
Iâm using Welfareâs estimates. He seems pretty reliable imho. Itâll be wild if Xbox continues winning in NA thru year end. If they can somehow pull that feat off, they will have easily survived PSâs biggest games hitting across 2022 and weathered that competition without even releasing their major games yet. That would speak extremely well to the brand strength Xbox has recovered since last gen.
I think ppl are way undervaluing the impact it will have just being day 1 on GP. That alone will be enormous imho.
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Plus associated marketing + bundles + exclusive content (who knows maybe Campaigns could be exclusive to Xbox!) But anyway I donât want to turn this into another CoD exclusivity talk that veers off-topic lol
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Battle Passes for every season for GPU would be huge in itselfâŚ.
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Campaigns almost certainly wonât be exclusive imho, but early/exclusive betas (once the PSX deals end), battle pass GPU perks and like you said just that general marketing push will be huge. Next year even ignoring ABK stuff will be huge for Xbox too. In early 2023 things should really kick off for the brand. 
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I reckon theyâre much higher than that myself
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16.6 mil 
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I mean, I guessed 18 mill back a couple of months ago or more
So based on my own guess, if I said 18 back then, Iâd be surprised if theyâre not over 20 now. Again only based on the number I guessed back then
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Haha guess
It was thought to be 12mil or so in January, as per various analysts. That seems a reasonable estimate for the timeframe, and 16-17mil would still be almost a mil per month. 18mil thru March would have been 2mil per month, which seems super high. Keep in mind that would far outpace their sales up til that point even with a really strong 2021.
Which was based entirely around absolute lowest numbers to satisfy a vague PR statement.
The actual analysts Iâm referring to arenât using that as their methodology for the figures they are putting together. They arenât just sitting around waiting for PR statements to drop.
I havenât seen any accounting for how many Microsoft has been able to sell directly at any time and especially since the massive stock availability starting this year for the North America and UK markets.
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True, their stock has been reliably good for a lil while now it seems. Hence them doing notably better than Sony has in NA. But we dunno anything about scale in that regard either. Just that itâs better than what Sony can get into the market. Iâm doubtful that they would have been selling more than 180-200k per week on any sort of consistent basis even with the supply. In the hayday of the 360 during spring quarters it was closer to 500k or so per month iirc.
It wasnât thought to be 12 million
It was said to be at least 12 million based on outpacing the 360 (or was it Xbox One?) to the same point.
The issue with âat leastâ being, that the âat mostâ could be literally anything.
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I guess itâs good news.
And some people honestly believe MS wants to stop selling console hardware. Itâs a key part of their gaming business.
Would need to check but I think it was Xbox One actually. I was talking about Daniel Ahmadâs comment btw, where he said their firmâs estimates put Series at above 12mil thru year end '21. Iâd say 4-5 mil in 6 months is about right given what that would suggest monthly sales are (667k-833k) from that baseline 12mil figure. Welfare always does a solid job with his estimates too. I donât see any evidence yet suggesting the 12mil figure was lowballing anything or that sales would be higher than 17mil LTD.
I think they are more likely than not to be ~4mil behind PS5 atm and that lead could possibly nearly disappear by yearâs end. They hit 20mil in beginning of June, and Xbox would be at 16-17mil thru end of June using my guesstimates. It is far from the ratios many presumed we would see either way (2:1 was commonly cited as expected, for some absurdly dumb reason).
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