Video Game Market Analysis Thread

Yep. Over 10M sales imo.

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I honestly thought the Xbox Series S BF sale would drive a lot more units, I mean it was a great deal you could get for ~$200 net after gift card offers too. Whats weird is that in terms of revenue, not units, they were third. That means a $200 switch lite and a $300 Switch docked sold so many more units that their revenue was higher than what MS made with their $500 and $250 XSX.

They are giving AAA games away with a cheap subscription and sold a console for like $200 last month. We are seeing more and more proof that subscription services are not the killer apps they are hyped up to be.

Starfield and the rest may give Xbox a decent boost but, to me, it feels like they have two upcoming issues. Game Pass is not a killer app and the Xbox brand, even with all the value and goodwill, is well below the other two game giants.

Either way, not a good look. The XSS was $250 with a $50 gift card at target. Shouldve cleaned up.

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It’s going to take time to build up that market/mind share. I think they’re on a good path.

I personally don’t think Xbox will ever surpass PlayStation in the console space unless they have a disaster worse than the PS3.

Mobile, Cloud and PC is where they need to capitalize. There’s so much more growth on PC that they haven’t tapped into yet. The problem is, PC Gamepass just hasn’t really taken off yet.

It’s not really weird. SX is still massively supply constrained so people wanting that still need stock. SS sold well in the offer period but beyond that what incentive is there to push loads of units with no big software simultaneously launching?

The fact is that series consoles have sold incredibly well the X is still supply constrained and the S is probably reaching saturation point in some markers without some bigger games that are coming next year.

Being cheap doesn’t mean much if you don’t have big games to go with it

Lack of Starfield hurt it’s potential big time this year

Xbox selling a decent amount of systems despite a very dry year 1st party wise.

Game Pass. And it proves one again that third parties sell the consoles.

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Imagine being beat by a $500 console with your $200 console which is more than 2.5x the price of your product, in your home turf where the demand of your product is the highest than any other country aside from the UK.

This looks bad for MS no matter how you slice it, especially in the current economical market “recession”. Things are looking bleak for the Xbox outside of the US and UK.

They’ll be fine. At the end of the day it’s about how close xbox can get to ps not about who sells more.

360 numbers were average outside US and UK. Stull sold 80m plus.

You say bleak like it actually matters and they arent selling any systems. Theyre still selling most of the consoles theyre making.

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Of course they do. How many 1st party ps5 games and money hats has their been from sony this year? I think my total hours spent on persona 5 royal on GP eclipses just about all my time spent on any ps system this year.

Weekly Famitsu

Software Sales (physical only)

01./01. [NSW] Pokemon Scarlet / Violet # (Pokemon Co.) {2022.11.18} („5.980) - 277.676 / 3.702.482 (-10%)

02./00. [NSW] Dragon Quest Treasures # (Square Enix) {2022.12.09} („7.264) - 143.650 / NEW

03./02. [NSW] Splatoon 3 (Nintendo) {2022.09.09} („5.980) - 51.315 / 3.497.714 (+32%)

04./00. [NSW] Witch on the Holy Night # (Aniplex) {2022.12.08} („6.000) - 39.759 / NEW

05./00. [PS4] Witch on the Holy Night # (Aniplex) {2022.12.08} („6.000) - 26.585 / NEW

06./05. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} („5.980) - 21.583 / 4.949.748 (+105%)

07./04. [NSW] Minecraft # (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} („3.600) - 21.094 / 2.898.728 (+92%)

08./06. [NSW] Nintendo Switch Sports # (Nintendo) {2022.04.29} („4.980) - 17.187 / 810.251 (+87%)

09./03. [NSW] Mario + Rabbids: Galaxy Battle (Nintendo) {2022.12.02} („5.980) - 13.466 / 31.113 (-24%)

10./12. [NSW] Kirby and the Forgotten Land (Nintendo) {2022.03.25} („5.980) - 11.239 / 938.508 (+164%)

Hardware Sales

Switch – 158.106 (27.387.408)

PlayStation 5 – 18.822 (2.238.074)

PlayStation 4 – 3.150 (9.404.084)

Xbox Series X|S – 1.524 (396.376)

3DS – 64 (24.596.902)

Some new games seeing good success. DQ Treasures looks like a good launch for a spin-off. Witch on the Holy Night looks like a great launch for a VN (and continues killing the narrative that Aniplex is a part of Playstation lol). Mario + Rabbids
 It honestly seems like it flopped in Japan. For me anyway, I enjoyed the first game, but didn’t feel it needed a sequel, I haven’t picked it up either. From what I’ve heard this is more like a Rabbids game with Mario characters in it, while the first game was more like a Mario game with Rabbids characters in it. I wonder if that has anything to do with it?

1k has been Xbox’s baseline for the holidays, besides the one week they had a discount deal with ~10k consoles. I know Xbox revolves around the West, but I mean, getting beat every week by PS4


Now for something juicy from Falcom’s shareholder meeting:

https://twitter.com/michsuzu/status/1603277241970221056

Q What is the sales ratio between the packaged version and the DL version on the PlayStation these days? Are all packaged versions and downloads included in product sales?

Kondo: It’s a rough estimate, but the DL ratio is less than 20%, and our company has more packaged versions. DL version and DLC are included in the sales of the license division

Falcom confirms their Playstation digital attach rate in Japan is less than 20%! Oof! Falcom games have been selling quite poorly in Japan lately (by their own admission at last year’s shareholder meeting) but some people were trying to say they bet digital is making up for it! While it would be a case-by-case basis, I think this hurts some narratives that poor PS software sales in Japan are being made up by digital
 Not quite the case.

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That hasn’t been happening until recently and with PS4 getting new games that focus on Japan, and Sony making and sending more I can see why.

Also, since 1k+ was the original sales figures for Xbox before the course correcting, doesn’t this mean that there wasn’t any course correction and it was just a slow sales week?

I don’t see PS ever recovering in Japan, their first party games simply don’t appeal that much in Japan and everything else they actually care about is either on switch or heading that way

As for xbox, GP will only do so much, without big games people aren’t going to care much no matter how cheap it is

To be fair
GP has barely had anything for Japan last year. yes P5R is great
but that’s more for us western folks. People in Japan would opt for Switch version more over there compared to here when xbox has larger userbase.

We will see huge spike in Xbox interest in Japan when a Eiyuden Chronicle and Wo Long hits.

  • Switch OLEd – 97,909
  • PS5 – 64,420
  • Switch – 47,125
  • Switch Lite – 28,049
  • PS5 Digital Edition – 6,076
  • PS4 – 3,161
  • Xbox Series S – 875
  • New 2DS LL – 48
  • Xbox Series X – 35

Sony supplies big amount of consoles to Japan, Xbox sends almost none lol

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Sony has said there should be lots of PS5 stock for Japan going forward from now on so keep expecting it. For Xbox they only send bigger (10k) stock when Series S has a discount deal but otherwise the West is more important.

https://twitter.com/Genki_JPN/status/1600350605402583042

Now for an interesting thing from the top 10

[PS5] Crisis Core: Final Fantasy VII Reunion ([Square Enix], 12/13/22) – 54,522 (New)

[PS4] Crisis Core: Final Fantasy VII Reunion (Square Enix, 12/13/22) – 53,481 (New)

[NSW] Crisis Core: Final Fantasy VII Reunion (Square Enix, 12/13/22) – 48,527 (New)

The Switch version of a game being the least selling (even if not by much) in Japan is quite rare. Even more rare is PS5 leading. I guess this really shows that Sony’s efforts have very much tied FF to the PS brand.

Yeah, Xbox needs to think of it like they do Xcloud it’s a future investment into the ecosystem. Creating a big enough Japanese following will only make things better.