This actually seems reasonable expectations for the most part as to when we can expect the games to be released.
What I will add is that this is what we either know or strongly suspect, so there is almost a complete absence of Global Publishing, Roundhouse and Zenimax Online, plus I would expect one or two more surprises from the studios already mentioned.
Would love to see Roundhouse resurrect the Prey 2 bounty hunter game they had cancelled. Even if it’s under a different name is fine. Looking at that trailer even today still looks pretty good since two generations ago.
Yeah I suspect there will be a number of additional projects we do not know about that will fit in there but too hard to judge which.
No idea what global publishing will put out, but Zenimax has has multiple unannounced games, Mojang has multiple unannounced games, Bethesda could put out Elder Scrolls, Arkane Lyon probably puts out another game in this time frame, Obsidian and Ninja Theory probably put out a couple more small projects, Bethesda could put out another game, 343 is a possibility since they have such a large team, Double Fine will put out another game, idSoftware will put out a game, Rare probably puts out another game, there’s probably other wildcards, Tangos main team will put out a game. Honestly if project Omen hits in early 2022, Arkane Austin probably puts out another game in 2025 too.