What will open the Xbox + Bethesda Games Showcase? Starfield
What will close the Xbox + Bethesda Games Showcase? Fable
Will all games shown at the Xbox + Bethesda Games Showcase be day one on Game Pass? No
Will Xbox announce a first-party/second-party (through Global Publishing) Japanese-developed game during the show? Yes - at least 2
What announced titles will re-emerge this year (Pick up to 5, 1 point for each) Forza Motorsport, Starfield, Fable, Avowed, As Dusk Falls
Will Starfield get a release date? (Double Down Eligible) No
Will Redfall get a release date? (Double Down Eligible) No
Will Todd Howard’s E3 presentation on Starfield be over or under 20 minutes long? No more than 12
Which Xbox/Bethesda Studios will announce new games?
(Pick 5, 1 point for each correct answer. No Global Publishing. Double Down Eligible) Compulsion, Zenimax Online, InXile, id, Machine Games
Will Xbox announce an acquisition during the show? No
Will Redfall have more than 4 playable characters? (Leaks imply possibly, PR implies no way!) More than 4 at a given time? No. More than 4 characters to choose from? Yes
Will Forza Motorsport release in 2022? Yes
Will Deathloop be a part of the show? No
Will Xbox announce a new game with a Disney IP (Star Wars, Lucasfilm, etc.)? (Double Down Eligible) Yes
Will Activision-Blizzard have a presence at the show (i.e. Diablo 4 trailer?) No
Will we see a AAA third party title announced for Day One Game Pass? Yes
Will we see an unannounced Xbox money-hat? (Double Down Eligibile) Nope
Will the show score above a consensus B on the Keighley Twitter Poll? Was going to say no, but actually I think it will be almost as popular as last year’s which did get an A
Will the Keighley pre-show feature people oblivious about Xbox? Probably
Make a bold prediction about the show! (Double Down Eligible) Fable 2023, double down
ROUND 2: Summer Games Fest Kickoff
What will open the show? Dragon Age
What will close the show? Sonic Frontiers
Will Kojima make an appearance? No
Will Xbox first-party have a presence? (No technicalities: ABK showing up does NOT count… yet. Similarly, Double Fine hosting Day of the Devs after also does not count.). Yes
Will Playstation Studios have a presence? No
Will Nintendo have a presence? (Double Down Eligible) No, but there will be a switch exclusive
Will we see an Xbox exclusive during the show? Yes
Will we get a tease for The Game Awards? Yes
Will Marvel’s Midnight Suns show up? Yes
Will Saints Row show up? Yes
Will we see an industry acquisition announced? Possibly by Embracer
Will we see demos released on Xbox? Yes
Will we see a game announce a Game Pass release? Yes
Will we see something from Bioware? Yes
Will we see a new IP from a major AAA dev announced? Yes
What will open the Xbox + Bethesda Games Showcase?
Starfield
What will close the Xbox + Bethesda Games Showcase?
Unnannounced new IP
Will all games shown at the Xbox + Bethesda Games Showcase be day one on Game Pass?
No
Will Xbox announce a first-party/second-party (through Global Publishing) Japanese-developed game during the show?
Yes
What announced titles will re-emerge this year (Pick up to 5, 1 point for each)
Redfall, Scorn, Forza Motorsport, Contraband, Avowed
Will Starfield get a release date? (Double Down Eligible)
No
Will Redfall get a release date? (Double Down Eligible)
Release window
Will Todd Howard’s E3 presentation on Starfield be over or under 20 minutes long?
Under
Which Xbox/Bethesda Studios will announce new games? (Pick 5, 1 point for each correct answer. No Global Publishing. Double Down Eligible ).
Zenimax, Compulsion, ID, Obsidian.
Will Xbox announce an acquisition during the show?
No
Will Redfall have more than 4 playable characters? (Leaks imply possibly, PR implies no way!)
Not at launch
Will Forza Motorsport release in 2022?
Yes
Will Deathloop be a part of the show?
No (due to contracts)
Will Xbox announce a new game with a Disney IP (Star Wars, Lucasfilm, etc.)? (Double Down Eligible)
Yes (Star Wars because everyone has Star Wars games in development now)
Will Activision-Blizzard have a presence at the show (i.e. Diablo 4 trailer?)
No
Will we see a AAA third party title announced for Day One Game Pass?
Yes (we will get 2, to be released before March 31st 2023)
Will we see an unannounced Xbox moneyhat? (Double Down Eligibile)
Yes (Double Down)
Will the show score above a consensus B on the Keighley Twitter Poll?
No (Fan boys will make sure )
Will the Keighley pre-show feature people oblivious about Xbox?
Yes
Make a bold prediction about the show! (Double Down Eligible)
Age of Empires 4 comes to console (if that’s not bold enough banjos back baby!)
ROUND 2: Summer Games Fest Kickoff
What will open the show?
Modern Warfare 2
What will close the show?
AAA new IP (multiplat)
Will Kojima make an appearance?
Yes
Will Xbox first-party have a presence? (No technicalities: ABK showing up does NOT count… yet. Similarly, Double Fine hosting Day of the Devs after also does not count.).
Yes (Hellblade 2)
Will Playstation Studios have a presence?
Yes but small, likely linking to their own event
Will Nintendo have a presence? (Double Down Eligible)
No
Will we see an Xbox exclusive during the show?
Yes (Hellblade 2)
Will we get a tease for The Game Awards?
No
Will Marvel’s Midnight Suns show up?
Yes
Will Saints Row show up?
Yes
Will we see an industry acquisition announced?
Yes (a studio will be acquired nothing major)
Will we see demos released on Xbox?
No
Will we see a game announce a Game Pass release?
Yes
Will we see something from Bioware?
Yes
Will we see a new IP from a major AAA dev announced?
I am not good at predictions but I’ll play anyway.
What will open the Xbox + Bethesda Games Showcase?
Forza Motorsport.
What will close the Xbox + Bethesda Games Showcase?
Avowed.
Will all games shown at the Xbox + Bethesda Games Showcase be day one on Game Pass?
No.
Will Xbox announce a first-party/second-party (through Global Publishing) Japanese-developed game during the show?
No (they will keep any announcements for TGS).
What announced titles will re-emerge this year (Pick up to 5, 1 point for each)
Avowed, Forza Motorsport, Starfield.
Will Starfield get a release date? (Double Down Eligible)
No.
Will Redfall get a release date? (Double Down Eligible)
No.
Will Todd Howard’s E3 presentation on Starfield be over or under 20 minutes long?
There won’t be any presentation just an in-game/gameplay trailer.
Which Xbox/Bethesda Studios will announce new games? (Pick 5, 1 point for each correct answer. No Global Publishing. Double Down Eligible ).
id, Tango, Arkane Lyon, The Coalition, Double Fine.
Will Xbox announce an acquisition during the show?
Yes.
Will Redfall have more than 4 playable characters? (Leaks imply possibly, PR implies no way!)
No.
Will Forza Motorsport release in 2022?
Yes.
Will Deathloop be a part of the show?
No.
Will Xbox announce a new game with a Disney IP (Star Wars, Lucasfilm, etc.)? (Double Down Eligible)
No.
Will Activision-Blizzard have a presence at the show (i.e. Diablo 4 trailer?)
No.
Will we see a AAA third party title announced for Day One Game Pass?
Yes.
Will we see an unannounced Xbox moneyhat? (Double Down Eligibile)
No.
Will the show score above a consensus B on the Keighley Twitter Poll?
Yes.
Will the Keighley pre-show feature people oblivious about Xbox?
Yes.
Make a bold prediction about the show! (Double Down Eligible)
Wolfenstein 3 is alive and scheduled for this year!
ROUND 2: Summer Games Fest Kickoff
What will open the show?
Death Stranding 2.
What will close the show?
Elden Ring expansion.
Will Kojima make an appearance?
Yes.
Will Xbox first-party have a presence? (No technicalities: ABK showing up does NOT count… yet. Similarly, Double Fine hosting Day of the Devs after also does not count.).
No.
Will Playstation Studios have a presence?
No.
Will Nintendo have a presence? (Double Down Eligible)
No.
Will we see an Xbox exclusive during the show?
No.
Will we get a tease for The Game Awards?
Yes.
Will Marvel’s Midnight Suns show up?
Yes.
Will Saints Row show up?
Yes.
Will we see an industry acquisition announced?
No.
Will we see demos released on Xbox?
No.
Will we see a game announce a Game Pass release?
No.
Will we see something from Bioware?
Yes.
Will we see a new IP from a major AAA dev announced?
I’m cheating since I post only now and have followed the last rumors but still joining this for fun:
ROUND 1: Xbox and Bethesda Games Showcase
What will open the Xbox + Bethesda Games Showcase?
Redfall
What will close the Xbox + Bethesda Games Showcase? Indiana Jones (just after Kojima and Starfield)
Will all games shown at the Xbox + Bethesda Games Showcase be day one on Game Pass? Yes
Will Xbox announce a first-party/second-party (through Global Publishing) Japanese-developed game during the show? Yes, Kojima
What announced titles will re-emerge this year (Pick up to 5, 1 point for each)
Redfall, Starfield, Indiana Jones, Everwild, Forza Motorsports (not counting Grounded, too easy)
Will Starfield get a release date? (Double Down Eligible)No
Will Redfall get a release date? (Double Down Eligible)No
Will Todd Howard’s E3 presentation on Starfield be over or under 20 minutes long?
Under
Which Xbox/Bethesda Studios will announce new games? (Pick 5, 1 point for each correct answer. No Global Publishing. Double Down Eligible).
Obsidian (Pentiment) / Mojang (Minecraft RTS) / Bethesda Game Studios (mobile game) / ZeniMax Online (new AAA IP) / Rare (Battletoads S2)
Will Xbox announce an acquisition during the show?
No
Will Redfall have more than 4 playable characters? (Leaks imply possibly, PR implies no way!)
No
Will Forza Motorsport release in 2022?
No
Will Deathloop be a part of the show?
Yes
Will Xbox announce a new game with a Disney IP (Star Wars, Lucasfilm, etc.)? (Double Down Eligible)No
Will Activision-Blizzard have a presence at the show (i.e. Diablo 4 trailer?)
Yes (I said every game would come to Game Pass but technically Activision wouldn’t accept this until the deal is finalized so I will bet that MS found a way to already announce Diablo 4 and OW2 as Game Pass Day One…)
Will we see a AAA third party title announced for Day One Game Pass?
Yes (SEGA)
Will we see an unannounced Xbox moneyhat? (Double Down Eligibile)Yes
Will the show score above a consensus B on the Keighley Twitter Poll?
Yes
Will the Keighley pre-show feature people oblivious about Xbox?
No
Make a bold prediction about the show! (Double Down Eligible)Indiana Jones will get a CGI trailer to close the show.
Bonus : Everwild will have a condensed gameplay trailer similar to Sea of Thieves at E3 2015 alongside the launch of a new Insider program.
Congrats to @Deus and @n0tjack for both getting bingos (technically I but Minecraft and ZOS, but given the unknown 12 months restriction at the time, I think Legends and ESO more than works here)!
Ok, the results are in. Let me know if I miscaluclated at all.
As is, our winners are @FarSightXR-20 for XGS, @Failwood for SGF and myself for overall predictions right between the two. Congrats everyone, that 12 month requirement was a hangup, eh?
A few things.
If you guessed points we’d see a new game from Roundhouse, I’ll allow it. Redfall is theirs too.
Whether you guessed Nintendo would or would not show at SGF, free points. They did not officially show up, but did bring commercials. So it’s an ambigious case
I consider the Team Ninja AAA GP Day One and Valheim, High On Life and Naraka to be moneyhats given the size of those games. We can debate if you’d like.
Redfall did not announce more than 4 characters as DLC so no points for that guess. But… if you get it right by next year, and we do this again, I will add +1 to your total. Just remind me.
I don’t recall a AAA New IP at SGF Kickoff but may be wrong. Was the Hoyoverse thing announced?
There was no Geoff preshow mercifully, so No wins.
DeoGame:
XGS: 17
SGF: 10
Hindle:
XGS: 13
SGF: 6
Windows:
Only 1 double down applied (the first). Sorry, 1 per player.
XGS: 14
Peter420:
XGS: 14 (Kudos on the bold prediction)
SGF: 8
MetroidFan:
Ambiguity around moneyhat definition so I’ll allow it.
XGS: 10
SGF: 8 (Kudos on TLOU Factions)
Failwood:
XGS: 14
SGF: 11 (Normally I wouldn’t allow Geoff brags, and won’t in future… but you gave me a good laugh and you weren’t wrong. No cold open/close like Xbox did)
Opatschi:
XGS: 16
SGF: 7
MrEvil37
XGS: 16
SGF: 8
Dark Paradise
XGS: 10
Deus
XGS: 15 (Starfield is a New IP but announced, so not giving for closing)
SGF: 10
Mort
XGS: 16
SGF: 9
Searsy87
XGS: 15
SGF: 8 (I’ll give you Question 7)
no1_codename_47
XGS: 12
SGF: 8
Zip
XGS: 12 (I’ll allow questions 4 and 8)
SGF: 8
LeeLayfield
XGS: 14 (I’ll give you the point for Redfall because for launch they have not announced extra characters.)
SGF: 7 (I’ll give you the Xbox exclusive one but it was not Hellblade)
To be honest I kind of cheated with the Kojima rumors, the Forza delay announced by Tom, the hints at Blizzard presence and the other leaks from The Snitch before the show lol.
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