A lot of that will have to be from there cut of 3rd party game, DLC and microtransactions sales. but the real comparison will be what sony and ms make from there exclusive game offerings
Eg so say sony sold 30 million games getting $35 per game thats a total of about $1 billion,
Where as game pass makes $3.6 billion a year eith 20 mil subscribes. The gamepass model seems more profitable.
I think if Starfield comes out this year then yeah there’s a big chance it reaches 35 million but with Halo being a free to play game not many will probably subscribe to GamePass for it besides those who want to play the campaign.
Assuming they reach 30-35 million this year and this is before their studios really start to fire on all cylinders I wonder how realistic it is to expect the numbers to be around 75-85 million by the end of the generation…
Yep, and Sony will follow eventually. With alll the “HBO vs basic cable” and “premium content” bs it wouldn’t surprise me if they kept PS Now as is, then added a PS Now + with every game day and date and PS+ at $20+/month. Fully except some sort of PS Now PC or every game coming to Epic.
That being said, I agree with some of the predictions here, 30M+ Game Pass subs in 2021 should be pretty easy, I think some announcements will boost subs a lot. February/March if they announce most Bethesda games will be exclusive, a chunk of people will sub for Starfield imo (assuming it’s coming sooner than later). Halo of course, xCloud on iOS, xCloud on TVs, Ubisoft or other publisher deals, etc.
The only reason I can think that sony dont want to go all in on there subscription service that is they rely on the short term capital direct sales provides, but now I think about it does not make sense because if sony went all in and made PSnowUltimate which included there exclusives day one, previous exclusives and ps+ it would gain new customers and quick revenue as fast as gamepass, so god knows what sonys motives are.
Yeah, I think they’re just waiting so they don’t look like they’re just copying the Game Pass sub. Also as I said I’m convinced they would put the price just $5 over Game Pass Ultimate, with the words “premium” and “critically acclaimed” plastered everywhere.
Yeah I figured the promotional subs were not counted. The $1/3month deal, for example. But they would count retention. Anyways this is all a guess on my part and I think it’s more honest and as a result more useful info for investors.
It’ll be curious to see what numbers they announce at E3 (if they do, but I imagine they will) and if there will be a jump after E3.
One simple explanation would be that they want the GP message to remain as a constant positive and the courser grained the reporting the better for that. If you always round down to the nearest 5 mill. far less chance that you will ever have to report a drop for the press to pick up and run with.
The revenue of the Xbox division this year is going to be at around 12 billion. By 2023 or 2024 I think that figure could hit 18 billion. By the end of this gen the Xbox division should have surpassed 20 billion in revenue per year.